Recent polling conducted after the GOP’s strong showing in last week’s off-year elections finds Republicans taking a substantial lead heading into the 2022 congressional midterms.
A USA Today/Suffolk University poll conducted from Nov. 3-5 found 46 percent of respondents would vote for a Republican candidate, while 38 percent said they would vote for a Democratic one.
Similarly Emerson College Polling gave GOP candidates a substantial lead, 49 percent to 42 percent, in a survey conducted Nov. 3-4.
#Polls of a man-made disaster
Biden job approval 38%🚨
Kamala job approval 28%🔥
GOP 8% advantage on congressional ballot
64% hope Biden doesn’t run again, incl. 4 in 10 who voted for him in 2020
46% Biden voters says he’s worse than they thought
— Kellyanne Conway (@KellyannePolls) November 7, 2021
President Joe Biden’s approval rating hit a new low of 38 percent in the USA Today/Suffolk University poll.
Historically when the president’s approval rating has dropped below 50 percent, his party has consistently, going back decades, faced a blowout in the House of Representative in the midterms, which included a loss of control of the chamber.
Another predictor of how the party out of power heading into the midterms will fare has been the result of the Virginia governor’s race in the year following a presidential election.
Republicans only need to gain five seats to retake the House in 2022, which makes their task of flipping the chamber much easier this time around.
Join me in welcoming the newest member of Congress—Mike Carey—Republican from Ohio! pic.twitter.com/a2CgN8DIw8
— Kevin McCarthy (@GOPLeader) November 4, 2021
With Biden’s approval rating well below 50 percent and a solid win in the Virginia governor’s race last week, the GOP appears well-positioned to ride a red wave back to power next November.
The USA Today/Suffolk University poll was conducted with 1,000 registered voters. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.
The Emerson College survey was conducted with 1,000 registered voters. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.